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Fuel prices in Greater Toronto are expected to reach two dollars per liter

Warnings of a new inflation wave that may quickly extend to food prices during the summer

Fuel prices in Greater Toronto are expected to reach two dollars per liter

Published: March 19, 2026

Fuel prices in the Greater Toronto Area are heading towards recording new record levels, with warnings that the price of a liter of gasoline could reach the two-dollar mark in the coming period, amid ongoing disruptions in global energy markets.
This increase is driven by the repercussions of the war in the Middle East, which has led to disruptions in oil supplies and increased shipping and insurance costs, directly reflecting on fuel prices in Canada, especially in major urban areas.

Direct impact on living costs

Analysts warn that this increase will not be limited to fuel prices only, but will quickly extend to various sectors, foremost among them food, as supply chains heavily depend on land transport and logistics.
The rise in fuel costs is expected to increase the costs of transporting goods and foodstuffs, which may be reflected in product prices in stores, increasing inflationary pressures on Canadian households, especially with the approach of summer, which usually witnesses a rise in demand.

Increasing pressures on the economy

This comes at a time when the Canadian economy is already facing multiple challenges, including slowing growth and rising living costs, making any additional increase in energy prices a multiplying factor for economic pressures.
Observers believe that the continuation of tensions in vital energy corridors, such as the Strait of Hormuz, may keep prices high for a longer period, complicating efforts to control inflation.

Concerns about a new inflationary cycle

Analysts indicate that gasoline prices reaching this level may create what is known as the "domino effect," where increases move from one sector to another, starting from transportation to food and services, which could lead to a new wave of inflation that is difficult to contain quickly.
Given these conditions, the trajectory of fuel prices remains closely linked to geopolitical developments, making markets vulnerable to sharp fluctuations in the coming period.

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